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Warcraft 3

03rd July 2008, 17:25

Is ReiGn a favourite over HoT?


ESWC Masters is going live in the weekend, and XLBet has really shaken the bag and come up with a bunch of interesting bets for the tournament. One of them is my main target this weekend, as I have a lot of confidence in the reasoning behind it.

Denmark Phil predicts

WarCraft - ESWC Masters

ReiGn vs. HoT looks like a real gem for a bookmaker. Either side could win, and givng equal odds on the duo wouldn't seem unrealistic. Now, what XLBet has done is to make ReiGn a 3-1 favourite for the match; something that is based on two things - ReiGn's wins against Check and Moon in the Korean ESWC-qualifier and HoT's perfomance against Undead.

A 2-1 victory for HoT is not that unrealistic though, and neither is it for HoT to at least take down a map. A warden on Terenas Stand could cut it for the Ukrainian Nightelf. Add to that fact, that HoT is an impressive LAN-player - something he proved when he won the Samsung European Championship in the spring. I'm going to say that at odds 2.9, a victory for HoT is worth betting on.

If you are playing scared, you can combine that bet with a draw in the handicap-match, thus creating a profitable play for either 2-1, 1-2 or the 0-2 result. As the handicap-draw is set at 2.65, you would be able to make a safebet, which will earn you money unless ReiGn wins 2-0.

Finland Ohjeohje: Picking Korea, South ReiGn for one obvious reason, maps. Secret Valley, Twisted Meadows, Echo Isles, Turtle Rock and Terenas Stand. And both players takes one map away, so ReiGn will most likely remove TS and Ukraine HoT TR/TM. Now that XLBet raised odds for ReiGn to 1.35 and lowered HoT to 2.55, choosing ReiGn is now more beneficial.

As for Handicapped match picking X for value is best option, HoT winning 2-0 is little absurd considering maps. ReiGn winning 2-0 is more possible but pick X for safebet.

Undead ReiGn

vs.

HoT Nightelves

Map(s)

Time

1: 1.26

2: 2.9

Best of 3Saturday 5/7
Phil picks HoT

 

 

To bet on this, or more matches, go to XLBet.com for a complete overview of the betting-action.


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Comments (22)

 

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(last month)  #1 WGv1lat
v1lat
lol
Easy money...
Ofc Hot will win)
There is only 1 undead in the world who can beat HoT atm - hoorai.Fix
(last month)  #3 Mista_Masta
 
Really? I thought HoT was rather weak against UD, having lost much worse players than ReiGn. He may have improved a lot, but with 1.22, I still think ReiGn will take this.
(last month)  #2 cultking
cultking
ReiGn will win!
Pull me down again and guide me into pain.
(last month)  #4 Konna
Konna
Quoting Mista_Masta:

Really? I thought HoT was rather weak against UD, having lost much worse players than ReiGn. He may have improved a lot, but with 1.22, I still think ReiGn will take this.


ESWC masters is played with 1.21 afaik
(last month)  #5 myMYM|An1mA
An1mA
Though HoT is quite good, I still think ReiGn will beat HoT.
Agianst All Odds~~
(last month)  #6 Unbelievable
 
I hope Hot will win this fight. It won't be easy, but Hot can do it!
Boo!
(last month)  #7 Fayspire
Fayspire
ReiGn
(last month)  #8 NoobMaster3
 
hot will win im sure
(last month)  #9 GFOPazek
Pazek
http://gameinside.ua/setka/W3/ESWC_2008_UA_wc3.htm

Fix > HoT
ReiGn >>> Fix
ReiGn > HoT

That's my opinion. I think, HoT have bad MU Vs UD.
(last month)  #17 ag3nt
ag3nt
warcraft is not mathematics.
a>b & b>c does not means a>c
(last month)  #19 GFOPazek
Pazek
Yes i know -.- I just gave proof why i think that ReiGn is better player than HoT. ReiGn MU Vs NE is much better(imo) than FiX MU, that's the only reason why i wrote that. I didn't mean "a>b, b>c = a>c"
(last month)  #10 BLIZMaliSunSet
MaliSunSet
ReiGn no doubt
I <3 MYM
(last month)  #11 bsg
bsg
ReiGn - HoT 2-3
(last month)  #13 GFOPazek
Pazek
Best of 3?
(last month)  #12 GoaT
GoaT
HoT no doubt
Nine Vires Nors
(last month)  #14 aTchOKiPik
aTchOKiPik
Obviously HoT
stop speaking start fighting
(last month)  #15 Kompik
 
reign is the favourite in this match , but only because of this matchup and cause hot is not that stable against UD..
But for me Hot is the better player then reign
(last month)  #16 MYM|losemann
losemann
reign will win in my oppinion. no matter which patch, reign is a strong player, who doesnt have enough chances to show himself
[www.myMYM.com] - Everything you need!
(last month)  #18 KylinAlexLee
AlexLee
ReiGn for sure,anyway gl for Hot.
(last month)  #20 myCAi
myCAi
reiGn wins...seen hot having trouble against dk+ghoul harras then gargs
Strength lies not in defense but in attack!
(last month)  #21 Akatosch
 
lol all that, because some players hadnt any knowlegde about wc3 and their top-players....!
(last month)  #22 MoonFly
MoonFly
ReiGn is too strong *-*

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